The Commission also used record evidence to establish that the price of the subject imports did not have significant price depressing effects on the domestic like product. Final Determination at 28. The Commission cited to specific record evidence that substantiated its finding that the subject imports did not negatively affect domestic like product prices.

     The Commission collected quarterly price information on seven types of steel wire rope, designated products 1 through 7. The volume of the sales of the domestic like product was very small in all but 1 and 2 (consisting of bright carbon steel wire rope) and product 5 (consisting of galvanized carbon wire rope). There was no clear downward trend in the price of domestically produced steel wire rope in any of these three product categories. For product 1, prices for the domestic product were highest at the end of the review. Prices for domestic product 2 increased and then fell during the period, but ended at a level [ ] above their starting point. Prices for the domestic product 5 ended [ ] lower than they began, but increased in each of the last three quarters.

Final Determination 26-27 (footnotes omitted). Additionally, the Commission noted that the substitutability between subject imports and the domestic like product was limited because

     subject imports generally are lower in quality than the domestic like product. Moreover, galvanized carbon steel wire rope accounts for over half of subject imports but only a small share of domestic production. These factors limit substitutability between the domestic like product and the subject imports, and therefore limit the potential effects on subject imports domestic prices.

Final Determination at 26. Similarly, the record evidence demonstrated that (1) petitioners announced various price increases, (2) domestic producers’ cost of goods sold as a percentage of net sales increased minimally, while their operating income remained stable, and (3) the “attenuated” competition between the subject imports and the domestic like product limited the ability of the subject importers to suppress price increases of the domestic like product.

     We also found that subject imports did not have significant price depressing effects on the domestic like product. The record does not reflect any clear downward trend in prices for the domestic like product. Nor do we find that subject imports prevented to a significant degree price increases by the domestic industry that otherwise would have occurred. First, petitioners announced various price increases, which the record suggests were collected, in whole or in part, in at least some instances. Second, domestic producers’ cost of goods sold as a percentage of net sales increased very little, while their operating income was generally stable. Third, because competition between subject imports and domestic like product is attenuated, subject imports’ ability to suppress price increases is similarly limited.

Final Determination at 28-29 (footnotes omitted).

     In its impact analysis, the Commission must consider all the relevant economic factors that bear on the state of the industry in the United States. See 19 U.S.C. § 1677(7)(C)(iii) (1994). The Commission noted that although the industry’s performance was not particularly strong, the cause of the weakness was not the subject imports. In fact, the Commission found that the major reason for the domestic industry’s market share loss was caused by nonsubject imports.

Subject imports’ market share increased less than [ ] from 1998 to1999, from [ ] to [ ] percent. While subject imports’ market share was the highest in interim 2000, that was also the period the industry was most profitable. In addition, prices collected on various subject products did not exhibit a clear downward trend, and AUVs (average unit values) for the subject imports decreased only [ ] from 1998 to 1999, from $[ ] per short to $[ ] per short ton. Previously, from 1997 to 1998, the domestic industry lost [ ] in market share, but nonsubject imports accounted for the bulk of the loss [ ].

Final Determination at 33-34 (footnotes omitted).

     In addition to the price, volume and impact analysis, the Commission also noted in its injury analysis important conditions of competition that supported its negative injury determination. The Commission found that

although domestic and imported steel wire rope both generally conform to specifications, certain factors limit competition between them. More than onehalf of subject imports are galvanized carbon steel wire rope, while less than two percent of domestic production is galvanized. Many purchasers and distributors state that only domestic product is used for so-called “critical” applications: those in which failure of the rope could result in damage, injury or death. Similarly, various steel wire rope distributors expressed concern over liability arising out of any failure by imported steel wire rope they might sell, particularly imports from China.

Final Determination at 22 (footnotes omitted). Similarly, a contributing factor to the domestic industry’s drop in capacity, which caused a drop in production in 1999, could be attributed to consolidation within the industry. In its impact analysis the Commission stated:

[t]he decline in capacity in 1999 reflects the fact that domestic producer WRCA (Wire Rope Corporation of America) retired all but one of the production facilities it acquired from Rochester and Macwhyte. Domestic production capacity was 123,715 short tons in interim 1999 and 135,535 short tons in interim 2000, consistent with [ ]. The domestic industry’s production fell from 127,833 short tons in 1997, to 118,047 short tons in 1998, and to 108,655 short tons in 1999. However, production was higher in interim 2000, at 80,801 short tons, than in interim 1999, at 78,955 short tons.

Final Determination at 30-31 (footnotes omitted). Therefore, the Commission concluded that purchasers’ preference for domestic product and industry consolidation were significant factors that supported a finding that subject imports did not cause material injury to the domestic industry.

     Having determined that the subject imports did not cause material injury to a domestic industry, the Commission then focused its analysis to determine if the subject imports threatened material injury to the domestic industry. Under 19 U.S.C. § 1677(7)(F)(ii) (1994), the Commission is required to determine “whether further dumped or subsidized imports are imminent and whether material injury by reason of imports would occur unless an order is issued or a suspension agreement is accepted. . . .”⁶

The Commission found that:

     [t]he record indicates that no significant increase in the volume or market penetration of subject imports is imminent. Although subject producers had the ability to increase significantly the volume of their exports to the U.S. market during the period of investigation, they did not do so. There is no persuasive evidence in the record that indicates that this behavior will change in the imminent future. We also find that subject imports are not likely to enter the United States at prices that will depress prices for the domestic like product. Prices for the subject imports are already significantly lower than prices for the domestic like product, yet prices for the latter are steady or increasing, and any market share lost by the domestic industry to subject imports has been small. We see no evidence that competition between subject imports and the domestic like product will become less attenuated in the imminent future.

Final Determination at 39-40. Therefore, the Commission concluded that the subject imports did not present a threat of material injury to the domestic industry. This determination is in accordance with law as the Commission discussed the relevant statutory factors that it considered in reaching its conclusion, namely, market penetration and volume of imports pursuant to 19 U.S.C. § 1677(F)(i)(III) and the effect of import prices on domestic prices pursuant to 19 U.S.C. § 1677(F)(i)(IV). It also cited attenuated competition between imports and domestic production as another economic factor it considered relevant, as it is required to by 19
U.S.C. § 1677(F)(i). The Commission’s conclusions with regard to these economic factors find factual support in the record as well. In Part VII of its Staff Report, there is evidence that supported its determination that the imports from China and India did not threaten a domestic industry and these findings are included in its analysis. In examining the capacity levels of the importers as required by 19 U.S.C. § 1677(F)(i)(II) the Commission found that

     [t]he record shows no indication of increased capacity in China or India during the period of investigation that would indicate the likelihood of substantially increased imports of subject merchandise, and capacity is projected to be [ ] in 2000 and 2001 as it was in 1999. Capacity utilization for the industry in China, which was estimated at [ ] percent in 1999, showed projected increases to rates of [ ] percent in 2000 and [ ] percent for 2001. For the industry in India, capacity utilization was [ ] percent in 1999, and is projected to increase to [ ] percent in both 2000 and 2001. While foreign producers’ capacity utilization figures reflect some available excess capacity, unused capacity existed during the period investigated, but did not result in materially injurious exports to the United States. Moreover, unused capacity declined late during the period of investigation, and it is projected to decline in the imminent future.

Final Determination at 37 (footnoting to the statistical tables included in Part VII of the Staff Report). Therefore, the court finds that the Commission’s determination that there was no threat of injury to the domestic industry is in accordance with law and supported by substantial evidence in the record of the Commission’s proceeding.

Part 4

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6. 19 U.S.C. § 1677(F) states the factors the Commission is required to consider in its threat of material injury determination.

     F) Threat of material injury

     (i) In general

In determining whether an industry in the United States is threatened with material injury by reason of imports (or sales for importation) of the subject merchandise, the Commission shall consider, among other relevant economic factors--

	(I) if a countervailable subsidy is involved, such information as may be presented to it by the administering authority as to the nature of the subsidy (particularly as to whether the countervailable subsidy is a subsidy described in Article 3 or 6.1 of the Subsidies Agreement), and whether imports of the subject merchandise are likely to increase,
	(II) any existing unused production capacity or imminent, substantial increase in production capacity in the exporting country indicating the likelihood of substantially increased imports of the subject merchandise into the United States, taking into account the availability of other export markets to absorb any additional exports,
	(III) a significant rate of increase of the volume or market penetration of imports of the subject merchandise indicating the likelihood of substantially increased imports,
	(IV) whether imports of the subject merchandise are entering at prices that are likely to have a significant depressing or suppressing effect on domestic prices, and are likely to increase demand for further imports,
	(V) inventories of the subject merchandise,
	(VI) the potential for product-shifting if production facilities in the foreign country, which can be used to produce the subject merchandise, are currently being used to produce other products,
	(VII) in any investigation under this subtitle which involves imports of both a raw agricultural product (within the meaning of paragraph (4)(E)(iv)) and any product processed from such raw agricultural product, the likelihood that there will be increased imports, by reason of product shifting, if there is an affirmative determination by the Commission under section 1671d(b)(1) or 1673d(b)(1) of this title with respect to either the raw agricultural product or the processed agricultural product (but not both),
	(VIII) the actual and potential negative effects on the existing development and production efforts of the domestic industry, including efforts to develop a derivative or more advanced version of the domestic like product, and
	(IX) any other demonstrable adverse trends that indicate the probability that there is likely to be material injury by reason of imports (or sale for importation) of the subject merchandise (whether or not it is actually being imported at the time).

     (ii) Basis for determination

The Commission shall consider the factors set forth in clause (i) as a whole in making a determination of whether further dumped or subsidized imports are imminent and whether material injury by reason of imports would occur unless an order is issued or a suspension agreement is accepted under this subtitle. The presence or absence of any factor which the Commission is required to consider under clause (i) shall not necessarily give decisive guidance with respect to the determination. Such a determination may not be made on the basis of mere conjecture or supposition.