We implement the exogeneity test by regressing years of education in 2001 on the vector Z and by computing the (first step) residuals. Appendix Table A1 reports the key estimated coefficients from this regression, as well as the Bound test statistic. We find that both the mother's age at birth and the individual's birth order had statistically significant effects on education. The sign of the former effect is positive, but turns negative when the individual is the oldest son or daughter. The sign of the latter effect depends crucially on the mother's age: it is positive when mothers are younger than 26, and negative when mothers are older. Finally, a higher number of siblings in the households was associated with a statistically significant reduction in educational attainment.
Since the Bound test is equal to 5.47 (p-value: 0.001), we reject the null hypothesis of no (joint) statistical significance of the additional instruments at the 1% level of confidence. Next, we run the bi-probit model for training incidence and the tobit model for training intensity after adding the first step residuals to each model and test whether this variable is statistically significant. [FN15] A positive result would reject the hypothesis that education is exogenous for training. It turns out that the estimated coefficients of the first step residuals are never statistically significant at the 0.05 level of confidence. Therefore, we cannot reject the null hypothesis of exogeneity of education in the training equations. [FN16]
Table 5 focuses on training incidence and shows that individuals with higher education were less likely than others to receive OJT and more likely to receive OFFJT. We also find that the probability of receiving training increased with age. The effects of tenure and experience varied with the type of training, and were negative for OJT and positive for OFFJT. Finally, women were statistically significantly more likely than men to receive OJT.
Table 6 looks at training intensity and confirms the relationship between education, OJT, and OFFJT. The estimates in Tables 5 and 6 refer to the overall effect of education on training, which includes both the direct effect and the effect mediated by the allocation of individuals to jobs and positions. One would like to know, however, whether an individual endowed with higher formal education who filled a given position was likely to receive more or less OJT or OFFJT. To answer this question we need to hold constant the type of position, for clearly different positions require different degrees of training, in both extent and type.
We control for the position held by restricting our sample to production workers, and by excluding team leaders, foremen, and other positions. The results reported in Tables 7 and 8 confirm the qualitative findings of Tables 5 and 6, with the sole exception that the positive effect of education on OFFJT is not statistically significant in the case of training incidence.
Table 7. Bivariate Probit Estimates of Training Incidence, Production Workers
Only, 1998-2001. (dependent variables: OJT and OFFJT incidence; robust
standard errors in parentheses)
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Years of Education Treated as Testing for Exogeneity of
Exogenous Education
----------------------------- ------------------------------
Variable OJT OFFJT OJT OFFJT
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Sex -0.028 -0.026 0.090 -0.147
(.075) (.075) (.151) (.152)
Age 0.189* 0.270** 0.266* 0.158
(.114) (.116) (.155) (.154)
Age2 -0.007* -0.008** -0.008* -0.005
(.003) (.003) (.004) (.004)
Age3 * 10 0.007* 0.007** 0.001** 0.000
(.003) (.003) (.000) (.000)
Tenure in 1998 -0.019* 0.011 -0.022** 0.010
(.010) (.010) (.011) (.011)
Previous -0.013* 0.015* -0.012 0.013
Experience in
1998
(.008) (.008) (.008) (.008)
Education -0.064*** 0.014 -0.143* 0.095
(.011) (.011) (.086) (.085)
First Step -- -- 0.079 -0.083
Residuals
(.086) (.085)
<<rho>> 0.320*** 0.307***
(.031) (.028)
Observations 3,523 3,523 3,487 3,487
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Notes: See notes to Table 5.
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